Please note, CEID ceased updating its forecasts based on the model presented here on July 12, 2021. This model does not account for the effects of vaccination, and as such has been discontinued. Forecasts here will soon be replaced with forecasts from CEID’s new semi-parametric, state-space compartmental model with vaccination and mobility.
To explore forecasts for every state in detail, go to the State Forecasts tab.
Detailed model information:
J.M. Drake, A. Handel, A.T. Tredennick. A stochastic model for the state-level transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the USA (html)
This repository contains code for running the model and generating some overview plots.
This repository contains code used to generate the visualization dashboard on the “Scenarios & Forecasts” tab.